With just 50 points available until the end of the season, the realistic title contenders are Loic Meuiner and Jarl Teien, but regining champion Jan Granqvist and Tom Stevens, who fought for the title in 2025, are still mathematically capable of taking the championship crown. Here’s a brief statistical analysis of the four contenders:
Loic Meunier
– No DNFs all season, which is a major reason he leads the title race. He did DNS the first round due to connection issues, but this has meant he has a half-decent engine for Brazil, which may pay him back.
– Only finished outside the top 10 once (15th in Canada).
– 7 podiums from 13 races – a 53.8% podium rate.
– Despite only 2 wins, he regularly maximised points so far with regular top 5 finishes.
– Statistically, Meunier averages 1 point per race lower than Teien when both finish.
Key stat: 202 points from 14 rounds = 14.4 points per race average.
Jarl Teien
– 3 wins, joint-most this season, showing race-winning pace.
– However, two DNFs (Australia, Japan) cost crucial points.
– His early season form was poor and he was only on 9 points after 3 rounds
– Six consecutive podiums have reignited his title hopes.
– Scoring form: 197 points = 14.1 points per race, but 16.4 when finishing.
Key stat: Has scored on average 0.3 points less per race than Meunier overall, but could overturn the lead with one strong result.
Jan Granqvist
– Started the year brilliantly: wins in Australia, Turkey, and Canada, and 2nd in the USA.
– Since mid-season, DNFs (Spain, Saudi Arabia, Singapore) have derailed his campaign.
– Without DNFs or DNSs, his average finishing position (3.0) is the best of the top four.
– Needs back-to-back wins to have an outside shot at the title.
Key stat: Lost roughly 40 potential points to DNFs – which would have put him in the lead.
Tom Stevens
– Also has 3 wins (Spain, Hungary, Meixco) but also 3 DNFs and 1 DNS.
– Inconsistency sums up his campaign: he’s either at the top or out entirely.
– 164 points, 38 behind, but two strong finishes could make him a dark horse.
– Typically strongest at technical circuits, so UAE could suit him.
Key stat: Despite fewer finishes, Stevens has the same number of wins as Teien and Granqvist.
Teien has the best recent form, but Meunier’s bulletproof consistency remains his forte. The final two rounds could come down to whether Teien can maintain his perfect run, or whether Meunier continues to avoid trouble. Teien has chosen to take an additional engine for Brazil so starts at the back; will this pay off at Interlagos, and give him the advantage he needs at Abu Dhabi, or is it a challenge too far? After all, he won at Monza, from 27th on the grid.
